http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2010/05/18/233991/england-to-win-world-cup-says-jpm-quant-model/
Ultimately our Model indicates Brazil as being the strongest team taking part in the tournament. However, due to the fixture schedule our Model predicts the following final outcome:
- 3rd: Netherlands
- 2nd: Spain
- World Cup Winners: England
• Alternatively, we point out that the 3 favourite teams (from market prices recorded on 30 April of 3.9-to-1 for Spain, 5-to-1 for Brazil and 5.4-to-1 for England) represent a 52.5% probability of winning the World Cup.
Penetration testing
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